Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.256500 1.545668 1.922304 2.466105 3.263388 4.449303 6.484532
2025-04-06 0.864115 1.162800 1.611908 2.391760 3.860321 6.953006 16.121494
2025-04-13 0.674076 0.957431 1.423703 2.342753 4.444677 10.568512 48.039072
2025-04-20 0.592803 0.883586 1.403576 2.565537 5.860842 20.799317 682.093650
2025-04-27 0.525771 0.811675 1.355791 2.699698 7.316596 42.173512 NaN
2025-05-04 0.464299 0.733933 1.269550 2.691636 8.379307 81.838108 NaN
2025-05-11 0.409818 0.657971 1.165216 2.580881 8.919074 148.033522 NaN
2025-05-18 0.377311 0.617748 1.127448 2.646484 10.626018 564.513188 NaN
2025-05-25 0.354536 0.592373 1.116302 2.794184 13.481187 106486.310684 NaN
2025-06-01 0.328386 0.555935 1.069976 2.798388 15.500318 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.301095 0.513472 1.000055 2.682454 16.173439 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.287599 0.498224 0.995806 2.826512 20.944702 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.270652 0.473944 0.964509 2.851242 24.902908 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.252130 0.444241 0.913530 2.766091 26.819488 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.236538 0.419408 0.871793 2.706947 29.483221 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.231537 0.417660 0.894326 2.982935 47.360124 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.223842 0.408789 0.894515 3.150214 70.661788 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.213038 0.391513 0.866355 3.140153 86.990364 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.200731 0.369617 0.820765 3.002090 89.341007 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.193683 0.359608 0.810538 3.083799 129.393783 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.188851 0.354424 0.814630 3.268511 244.831973 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.181467 0.342347 0.794454 3.273784 353.645181 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.172427 0.325525 0.756420 3.128689 357.643348 NaN NaN